TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Giraldi and Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Giraldi' if Carlos Giraldi advances against Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani' if Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani advances against Carlos Giraldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Giraldi and Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Giraldi' if Carlos Giraldi advances against Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani' if Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani advances against Carlos Giraldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, it might suggest the market perceives information differently, or that there’s an opportunity for value betting. However, it is important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and discrepancies can occur due to various factors and differing analytical approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match between Carlos Giraldi and Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market odds at the time of resolution. The market will close prior to this date to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Carlos Giraldi or Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani could cause significant shifts. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as changes to the schedule or venue, might also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed traders could quickly move the market, reflecting new information or a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.