TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 1:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Bacaloni and Javier Munoz Fuster in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Bacaloni' if Andrea Bacaloni advances against Javier Munoz Fuster. This market will resolve to 'Javier Munoz Fuster' if Javier Munoz Fuster advances against Andrea Bacaloni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Bacaloni and Javier Munoz Fuster in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Bacaloni' if Andrea Bacaloni advances against Javier Munoz Fuster. This market will resolve to 'Javier Munoz Fuster' if Javier Munoz Fuster advances against Andrea Bacaloni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for comparison, and discrepancies may present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. It’s important to consider both when forming your own opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match between Andrea Bacaloni and Javier Munoz Fuster. The winning player, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the basis for settlement. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using widely accepted tennis scoring rules and official tournament documentation. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also have an impact. Additionally, large trades on Polymarket can cause short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential market movements before Oct 14, 2026. A surprising upset in a preceding round could also alter expectations.