TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Tomas Curras Abasolo in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Garcia Carbajal' if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal advances against Tomas Curras Abasolo. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Curras Abasolo' if Tomas Curras Abasolo advances against Alejandro Garcia Carbajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Tomas Curras Abasolo in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Garcia Carbajal' if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal advances against Tomas Curras Abasolo. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Curras Abasolo' if Tomas Curras Abasolo advances against Alejandro Garcia Carbajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding an event. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the value lies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Garcia vs Curras match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price of a share, the greater the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Tomas Curras Abasolo. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result of the match. Traders should monitor official tennis reporting for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also play a role. Significant betting activity from well-known or successful traders could also cause noticeable price movements, as others react to their positions in this market.