TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Volodymyr Gurenko and Darian King in the M15 Pembroke, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Volodymyr Gurenko' if Volodymyr Gurenko advances against Darian King. This market will resolve to 'Darian King' if Darian King advances against Volodymyr Gurenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Volodymyr Gurenko and Darian King in the M15 Pembroke, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Volodymyr Gurenko' if Volodymyr Gurenko advances against Darian King. This market will resolve to 'Darian King' if Darian King advances against Volodymyr Gurenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts based on their individual insights and information. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders can buy 'yes' or 'no' contracts, representing their belief about the outcome of the Gurenko vs King match. As more contracts are bought or sold, the price adjusts to reflect the current implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to hold one unit of exposure to a specific outcome, and it fluctuates based on supply and demand. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pembroke match between Volodymyr Gurenko and Darian King. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or address any losses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders could create momentum in one direction or another, causing the odds to adjust accordingly. Public opinion and expert analysis can also contribute to market movement.