TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Mercier and Henry Bilicic in the M15 Pembroke, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Mercier' if Tyler Mercier advances against Henry Bilicic. This market will resolve to 'Henry Bilicic' if Henry Bilicic advances against Tyler Mercier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Mercier and Henry Bilicic in the M15 Pembroke, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Mercier' if Tyler Mercier advances against Henry Bilicic. This market will resolve to 'Henry Bilicic' if Henry Bilicic advances against Tyler Mercier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the crowd believes is the true probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket, and the market remains open for trading until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pembroke match between Tyler Mercier and Henry Bilicic. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements regarding the match to understand the final result and ensure accurate settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match performances, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in playing conditions, like weather impacts, could also be significant. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also affect trading activity. Finally, large trades by influential players on Polymarket could create short-term price movements, although the overall trend will likely be driven by fundamental information about the Mercier vs Bilicic match.