TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 12:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lazar Markovic and Brendan McDonald in the M15 Pembroke, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lazar Markovic' if Lazar Markovic advances against Brendan McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Brendan McDonald' if Brendan McDonald advances against Lazar Markovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lazar Markovic and Brendan McDonald in the M15 Pembroke, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lazar Markovic' if Lazar Markovic advances against Brendan McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Brendan McDonald' if Brendan McDonald advances against Lazar Markovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities. It's worth comparing the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential value or areas where the market diverges from expert opinion.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Markovic vs McDonald match as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available information to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the condition of either player, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match scheduling or venue changes could introduce uncertainty and volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause the market to react and adjust accordingly.