TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kian Vakili and Jonny Degroot in the M15 Pembroke, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kian Vakili' if Kian Vakili advances against Jonny Degroot. This market will resolve to 'Jonny Degroot' if Jonny Degroot advances against Kian Vakili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kian Vakili and Jonny Degroot in the M15 Pembroke, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kian Vakili' if Kian Vakili advances against Jonny Degroot. This market will resolve to 'Jonny Degroot' if Jonny Degroot advances against Kian Vakili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving the price up and increased selling pressure driving it down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly adapts to new information and changing perceptions about the Vakili vs Degroot match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the M15 Pembroke match between Kian Vakili and Jonny Degroot. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Kian Vakili or Jonny Degroot could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or even pre-match interviews revealing insights into player confidence could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting their assessment of the evolving probabilities surrounding the Vakili vs Degroot match.