TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 10:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Brendan McDonald and Ben Chetewy Ungar in the M15 Pembroke, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brendan McDonald' if Brendan McDonald advances against Ben Chetewy Ungar. This market will resolve to 'Ben Chetewy Ungar' if Ben Chetewy Ungar advances against Brendan McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Brendan McDonald and Ben Chetewy Ungar in the M15 Pembroke, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brendan McDonald' if Brendan McDonald advances against Ben Chetewy Ungar. This market will resolve to 'Ben Chetewy Ungar' if Ben Chetewy Ungar advances against Brendan McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the fight. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is entirely driven by supply and demand – traders are essentially betting against each other, rather than against a traditional bookmaker. This dynamic creates a constantly updating forecast of the fight's result.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pembroke fight between Brendan McDonald and Ben Chetewy Ungar, as declared by the event organizers. The market will determine which fighter is officially declared the winner, and shares in that outcome will pay out. It is important to note that the official result, as reported by reliable sources, will be the sole determinant of the market’s resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule modifications could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, public analysis from MMA experts and shifts in betting trends at sportsbooks may also influence trading activity. A strong endorsement of one fighter by a well-respected analyst, for example, could lead to increased buying pressure on their shares, driving up the price.