TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 12:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Wriedt and Henry Bilicic in the M15 Pembroke, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Wriedt' if Alexander Wriedt advances against Henry Bilicic. This market will resolve to 'Henry Bilicic' if Henry Bilicic advances against Alexander Wriedt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Wriedt and Henry Bilicic in the M15 Pembroke, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Wriedt' if Alexander Wriedt advances against Henry Bilicic. This market will resolve to 'Henry Bilicic' if Henry Bilicic advances against Alexander Wriedt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s design encourages efficient price discovery, as arbitrageurs can quickly capitalize on any mispricing relative to external information or other markets. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wriedt vs Bilicic match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to their coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, broader factors such as weather conditions or court surface changes could play a role. Finally, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price movements, especially if they represent informed bets from sophisticated traders.