TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xavi Matas Ortega and Ramazan Kaan Oktay in the M15 Offenbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Matas Ortega' if Xavi Matas Ortega advances against Ramazan Kaan Oktay. This market will resolve to 'Ramazan Kaan Oktay' if Ramazan Kaan Oktay advances against Xavi Matas Ortega. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xavi Matas Ortega and Ramazan Kaan Oktay in the M15 Offenbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Matas Ortega' if Xavi Matas Ortega advances against Ramazan Kaan Oktay. This market will resolve to 'Ramazan Kaan Oktay' if Ramazan Kaan Oktay advances against Xavi Matas Ortega. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of traders, and it’s constantly updated based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Offenbach tennis match between Xavi Matas Ortega and Ramazan Kaan Oktay. The winning player, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and established tournament rules to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a change in belief about the likely winner. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading activity will be key to understanding potential movements in this market. Even seemingly minor developments can have a noticeable effect on the odds.