TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Zeuch and Jelle Sels in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Zeuch' if Tom Zeuch advances against Jelle Sels. This market will resolve to 'Jelle Sels' if Jelle Sels advances against Tom Zeuch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Zeuch and Jelle Sels in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Zeuch' if Tom Zeuch advances against Jelle Sels. This market will resolve to 'Jelle Sels' if Jelle Sels advances against Tom Zeuch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded, as prediction markets can incorporate information not readily reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price isn't determined by a central authority, but rather by the supply and demand of shares traded by users.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Offenbach tennis match between Tom Zeuch and Jelle Sels. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause significant price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market and affect the implied probabilities of each outcome.