TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Theo Herrmann and Amar Tahirovic in the M15 Offenbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Theo Herrmann' if Theo Herrmann advances against Amar Tahirovic. This market will resolve to 'Amar Tahirovic' if Amar Tahirovic advances against Theo Herrmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Theo Herrmann and Amar Tahirovic in the M15 Offenbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Theo Herrmann' if Theo Herrmann advances against Amar Tahirovic. This market will resolve to 'Amar Tahirovic' if Amar Tahirovic advances against Theo Herrmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market continuously adjusts based on real-money wagers, reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. It's common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available and traders react to it.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there is no central price setter. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Offenbach tennis match between Theo Herrmann and Amar Tahirovic. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning player. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results for either Theo Herrmann or Amar Tahirovic, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue might also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over the other. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tennis events could influence overall confidence in player rankings and impact trading activity in this market. Changes in public perception, even those not directly tied to performance, could also contribute to price fluctuations.