TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sven Corbinais and Kim Johannes Niethammer in the M15 Offenbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sven Corbinais' if Sven Corbinais advances against Kim Johannes Niethammer. This market will resolve to 'Kim Johannes Niethammer' if Kim Johannes Niethammer advances against Sven Corbinais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sven Corbinais and Kim Johannes Niethammer in the M15 Offenbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sven Corbinais' if Sven Corbinais advances against Kim Johannes Niethammer. This market will resolve to 'Kim Johannes Niethammer' if Kim Johannes Niethammer advances against Sven Corbinais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, and is constantly updated based on supply and demand for shares. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Offenbach tennis match between Sven Corbinais and Kim Johannes Niethammer. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule, or even weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and following the activity on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts for price changes.