TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sacha Maes and Amar Tahirovic in the M15 Offenbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sacha Maes' if Sacha Maes advances against Amar Tahirovic. This market will resolve to 'Amar Tahirovic' if Amar Tahirovic advances against Sacha Maes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sacha Maes and Amar Tahirovic in the M15 Offenbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sacha Maes' if Sacha Maes advances against Amar Tahirovic. This market will resolve to 'Amar Tahirovic' if Amar Tahirovic advances against Sacha Maes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing opinions. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the perceived probability of each possible result in the Maes vs Tahirovic match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Offenbach match between Sacha Maes and Amar Tahirovic, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market’s settlement, and winning shares will be redeemed according to the final price at resolution. It's important to monitor for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert opinions could all impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also cause the market to react. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence price movements, as can broader trends in tennis betting markets. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived probabilities.