TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Rossi and Mika Petkovic in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Rossi' if Leonardo Rossi advances against Mika Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Leonardo Rossi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Rossi and Mika Petkovic in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Rossi' if Leonardo Rossi advances against Mika Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Leonardo Rossi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns or promotional considerations, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating a growing belief in its likelihood, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rossi vs Petkovic match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic adjustments announced by either player’s team could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the sport, might also play a role. Public opinion, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also contribute to price movements, though the market ultimately reflects capital at risk.