TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lars Goran Verwerft and Sven Corbinais in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lars Goran Verwerft' if Lars Goran Verwerft advances against Sven Corbinais. This market will resolve to 'Sven Corbinais' if Sven Corbinais advances against Lars Goran Verwerft. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lars Goran Verwerft and Sven Corbinais in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lars Goran Verwerft' if Lars Goran Verwerft advances against Sven Corbinais. This market will resolve to 'Sven Corbinais' if Sven Corbinais advances against Lars Goran Verwerft. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. If sportsbooks heavily favor one player, this market might show a more balanced outlook if many traders believe the other player has a stronger chance of winning. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is entirely driven by supply and demand, and traders can adjust their positions based on new information or changing opinions about the players' chances of winning the Offenbach tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Offenbach tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning share and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match results as the resolution date approaches to understand the basis for the final outcome.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Offenbach event might also affect traders' assessments of the players' form. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate informed opinions and cause the market to react, potentially leading to price adjustments before the match concludes.