TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julien Penzlin and Mika Petkovic in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julien Penzlin' if Julien Penzlin advances against Mika Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Julien Penzlin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julien Penzlin and Mika Petkovic in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julien Penzlin' if Julien Penzlin advances against Mika Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Julien Penzlin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of engagement. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Penzlin vs Petkovic match’s likely result, driven by informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Penzlin vs Petkovic match, as determined by the governing tennis authorities. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. It's important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create momentum and drive the market in a particular direction. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.