TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 8:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Flynn Thomas and Calvin Mueller in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flynn Thomas' if Flynn Thomas advances against Calvin Mueller. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Flynn Thomas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Flynn Thomas and Calvin Mueller in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flynn Thomas' if Flynn Thomas advances against Calvin Mueller. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Flynn Thomas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, as they benefit from the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive to provide accurate forecasts. However, sportsbook odds still represent a valuable benchmark for comparison.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and changes dynamically based on new information and sentiment. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the potential result of the Offenbach tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Flynn Thomas and Calvin Mueller as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Any disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available information to ensure a fair and accurate determination. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the Offenbach tennis match.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance would likely impact trading activity. Changes in weather conditions at the match venue could also influence the odds, as could any unexpected announcements related to the tournament. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match could also shift the market’s probabilities.