TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Mueller and Mika Petkovic in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Mika Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Calvin Mueller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Mueller and Mika Petkovic in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Mika Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Calvin Mueller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of individuals, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can reveal where the crowd believes there's value or where sportsbooks may have mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Mueller vs Petkovic match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mueller vs Petkovic match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating a greater perceived chance of success, while increased selling pressure will lower the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mueller vs Petkovic match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event’s progress and the eventual resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations, prompting others to reassess their positions. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements within this market.