TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 8:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Mueller and Jelle Sels in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Jelle Sels. This market will resolve to 'Jelle Sels' if Jelle Sels advances against Calvin Mueller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Mueller and Jelle Sels in the M15 Offenbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Jelle Sels. This market will resolve to 'Jelle Sels' if Jelle Sels advances against Calvin Mueller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or biases among participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than traditional odds.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Offenbach tennis match between Calvin Mueller and Jelle Sels, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or increased media attention surrounding the Offenbach tennis match could lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.