TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yassine Smiej and Rayen Boudaoua in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yassine Smiej' if Yassine Smiej advances against Rayen Boudaoua. This market will resolve to 'Rayen Boudaoua' if Rayen Boudaoua advances against Yassine Smiej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yassine Smiej and Rayen Boudaoua in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yassine Smiej' if Yassine Smiej advances against Rayen Boudaoua. This market will resolve to 'Rayen Boudaoua' if Rayen Boudaoua advances against Yassine Smiej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s collective assessment of the likelihood of a specific player winning the match. The market’s price is dynamic and adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand, providing a constantly updated view of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Yassine Smiej and Rayen Boudaoua. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. It’s important to note that the outcome is determined by the actual result of the match, not by any subjective interpretation or pre-match predictions. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other related tournaments or shifts in expert opinions could also contribute to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed traders or significant shifts in overall market sentiment could drive the price in either direction. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities surrounding the Smiej vs Boudaoua match.