TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 12:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yassine Smiej and Leandro Zgraggen in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yassine Smiej' if Yassine Smiej advances against Leandro Zgraggen. This market will resolve to 'Leandro Zgraggen' if Leandro Zgraggen advances against Yassine Smiej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yassine Smiej and Leandro Zgraggen in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yassine Smiej' if Yassine Smiej advances against Leandro Zgraggen. This market will resolve to 'Leandro Zgraggen' if Leandro Zgraggen advances against Yassine Smiej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals making their own predictions. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate events before they are fully priced into sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yassine Smiej vs. Leandro Zgraggen tennis match in Monastir. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market, and winning shares will be redeemable at the predetermined payout rate. Keep an eye on official tennis news sources as the match approaches to stay informed about any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact the perceived probability of their success. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, driven by analysis or social media discussion, can lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and following expert predictions will be key to understanding potential market movements.