TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Win Steveker and William Norton in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Win Steveker' if Win Steveker advances against William Norton. This market will resolve to 'William Norton' if William Norton advances against Win Steveker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Win Steveker and William Norton in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Win Steveker' if Win Steveker advances against William Norton. This market will resolve to 'William Norton' if William Norton advances against Win Steveker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Steveker vs Norton match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the probability of each outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the price may become as new information surfaces and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Steveker vs Norton match as declared by the governing body of M15 Monastir. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and winning shares will be paid out accordingly. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure you understand the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either Steveker or Norton could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception, could also drive price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s probability assessment leading up to Nov 1, 2026.