TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between William Norton and Frederic Schlossmann in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'William Norton' if William Norton advances against Frederic Schlossmann. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against William Norton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between William Norton and Frederic Schlossmann in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'William Norton' if William Norton advances against Frederic Schlossmann. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against William Norton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants. The current price of a share indicates the implied probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between William Norton and Frederic Schlossmann. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders, or even significant media coverage focusing on one player’s chances, can lead to rapid price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves as the Monastir tennis match approaches.