TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vittorio Lavazza and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vittorio Lavazza' if Vittorio Lavazza advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Vittorio Lavazza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vittorio Lavazza and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vittorio Lavazza' if Vittorio Lavazza advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Vittorio Lavazza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information or changes in sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Vittorio Lavazza and Kylian Collignon. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and reporting from respected sports news sources. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, potentially impacting player performance. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and cause the market to move. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to changes in the perceived probabilities of each player winning.