TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktor Frydrych and Mathys Picard in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Frydrych' if Viktor Frydrych advances against Mathys Picard. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Picard' if Mathys Picard advances against Viktor Frydrych. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktor Frydrych and Mathys Picard in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Frydrych' if Viktor Frydrych advances against Mathys Picard. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Picard' if Mathys Picard advances against Viktor Frydrych. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive up its share price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic process ensures that the market price efficiently incorporates new information and reflects the current expectations of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Viktor Frydrych and Mathys Picard. Any official announcements regarding the match result, including disqualifications or forfeits, will be considered in determining the final outcome. The platform will rely on widely recognized sports news sources and official tournament records to verify the result and settle the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even unexpected weather forecasts could significantly shift the odds. Pre-match analysis from tennis experts, particularly if it deviates from current market expectations, could also drive trading volume and price movements. Furthermore, large trades from influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the Oct 15, 2026 resolution.