TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktor Frydrych and Dominique Graf in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Frydrych' if Viktor Frydrych advances against Dominique Graf. This market will resolve to 'Dominique Graf' if Dominique Graf advances against Viktor Frydrych. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktor Frydrych and Dominique Graf in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Frydrych' if Viktor Frydrych advances against Dominique Graf. This market will resolve to 'Dominique Graf' if Dominique Graf advances against Viktor Frydrych. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome in the Frydrych vs Graf match, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the potential outcomes. It's valuable to compare both to get a broader understanding of expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome in the Frydrych vs Graf match. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the perceived chance of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment among traders, providing a real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Viktor Frydrych and Dominique Graf. The platform will verify the match result against established tennis data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The market will close and settle shortly after the official result is available.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news, analyzing player statistics, and observing trading volume on Polymarket can provide insights into potential catalysts for movement in this market.