TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tuncay Duran and Andrea Bacaloni in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tuncay Duran' if Tuncay Duran advances against Andrea Bacaloni. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Bacaloni' if Andrea Bacaloni advances against Tuncay Duran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tuncay Duran and Andrea Bacaloni in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tuncay Duran' if Tuncay Duran advances against Andrea Bacaloni. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Bacaloni' if Andrea Bacaloni advances against Tuncay Duran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the Duran vs Bacaloni match, and is driven entirely by supply and demand for shares in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Duran vs Bacaloni match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly shift the price, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Duran vs Bacaloni match.