TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tim Ritzer and Sebastian Heinrich in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tim Ritzer' if Tim Ritzer advances against Sebastian Heinrich. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Heinrich' if Sebastian Heinrich advances against Tim Ritzer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tim Ritzer and Sebastian Heinrich in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tim Ritzer' if Tim Ritzer advances against Sebastian Heinrich. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Heinrich' if Sebastian Heinrich advances against Tim Ritzer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is reflected in the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Tim Ritzer and Sebastian Heinrich. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also have an impact. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also drive trading volume and price movements. Major upsets in other related matches could also influence traders’ perceptions and potentially move this market before Oct 11, 2026.