TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Simone Massellani and Samir Hamza Reguig in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simone Massellani' if Simone Massellani advances against Samir Hamza Reguig. This market will resolve to 'Samir Hamza Reguig' if Samir Hamza Reguig advances against Simone Massellani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Simone Massellani and Samir Hamza Reguig in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simone Massellani' if Simone Massellani advances against Samir Hamza Reguig. This market will resolve to 'Samir Hamza Reguig' if Samir Hamza Reguig advances against Simone Massellani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or the incorporation of unique data points not considered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Simone Massellani and Samir Hamza Reguig, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate a change in market perception. Even external factors like weather forecasts, if they affect playing surface conditions, might contribute to price fluctuations in this market.