TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Heinrich and Mahmoud chetouane in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Heinrich' if Sebastian Heinrich advances against Mahmoud chetouane. This market will resolve to 'Mahmoud chetouane' if Mahmoud chetouane advances against Sebastian Heinrich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Heinrich and Mahmoud chetouane in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Heinrich' if Sebastian Heinrich advances against Mahmoud chetouane. This market will resolve to 'Mahmoud chetouane' if Mahmoud chetouane advances against Sebastian Heinrich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is reflected in the share price, allowing traders to express their views and potentially profit from correctly anticipating the result of the Heinrich vs Chetouane match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Sebastian Heinrich and Mahmoud chetouane. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public opinion could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.