TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel De Felipe Garcia and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel De Felipe Garcia' if Samuel De Felipe Garcia advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Samuel De Felipe Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel De Felipe Garcia and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel De Felipe Garcia' if Samuel De Felipe Garcia advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Samuel De Felipe Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see this market incorporate information that isn’t immediately reflected in sportsbook lines, such as subtle player form or less-publicized news. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating growing confidence. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Samuel De Felipe Garcia and Kylian Collignon. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to view the resolved outcome and any relevant supporting information on Polymarket following the event’s completion.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or reports on player preparation and strategy, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals could indicate new information entering the market, causing a rapid price adjustment. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding the market’s movements leading up to Oct 13, 2026.