TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 10:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samir Hamza Reguig and Kaan Isik Kosaner in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samir Hamza Reguig' if Samir Hamza Reguig advances against Kaan Isik Kosaner. This market will resolve to 'Kaan Isik Kosaner' if Kaan Isik Kosaner advances against Samir Hamza Reguig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samir Hamza Reguig and Kaan Isik Kosaner in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samir Hamza Reguig' if Samir Hamza Reguig advances against Kaan Isik Kosaner. This market will resolve to 'Kaan Isik Kosaner' if Kaan Isik Kosaner advances against Samir Hamza Reguig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like house bias or marketing strategies. This market, driven by individual traders, aggregates diverse information and opinions. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can trade on Polymarket to capitalize on the perceived discrepancy, leading to odds that may diverge from traditional sources. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Samir Hamza Reguig and Kaan Isik Kosaner. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official tennis results to understand when the market will be settled and their positions finalized.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly impact confidence in either player. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to increased trading volume and changes in the implied probabilities on Polymarket.