TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rocco Piatti and OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Piatti' if Rocco Piatti advances against OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN. This market will resolve to 'OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN' if OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN advances against Rocco Piatti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rocco Piatti and OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Piatti' if Rocco Piatti advances against OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN. This market will resolve to 'OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN' if OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN advances against Rocco Piatti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the insights of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early on, as prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information or changing sentiment. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, and the more information becomes available, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived likelihood of each player winning. The current price represents the market’s aggregate forecast at this moment.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Rocco Piatti and Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The market will then settle, and winning shares will be redeemable for the corresponding payout based on the final price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create noticeable price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events will be key to understanding how the market is evolving and potentially identifying opportunities.