TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 8:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rocco Piatti and Leo Borg in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Piatti' if Rocco Piatti advances against Leo Borg. This market will resolve to 'Leo Borg' if Leo Borg advances against Rocco Piatti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rocco Piatti and Leo Borg in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Piatti' if Rocco Piatti advances against Leo Borg. This market will resolve to 'Leo Borg' if Leo Borg advances against Rocco Piatti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws nearer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to new information and insights regarding the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will then verify this information against trusted sources to finalize the market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before it resolves.