TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Robin Bertrand and Maxence Rivet in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robin Bertrand' if Robin Bertrand advances against Maxence Rivet. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Rivet' if Maxence Rivet advances against Robin Bertrand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Robin Bertrand and Maxence Rivet in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robin Bertrand' if Robin Bertrand advances against Maxence Rivet. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Rivet' if Maxence Rivet advances against Robin Bertrand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, differing interpretations of data, or simply the influence of public opinion. Analyzing these comparisons can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Robin Bertrand and Maxence Rivet. Specifically, the market will determine which player won the match. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the result and finalize the market’s settlement. This ensures a transparent and reliable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about either player's preparation or strategy might also lead to price movements. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, potentially driven by social media or expert analysis, could impact trading volume and price. Major upsets in other related tennis events could also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess their overall expectations for player performance.