TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 8:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Robin Bertrand and Carles Hernandez in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robin Bertrand' if Robin Bertrand advances against Carles Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Robin Bertrand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Robin Bertrand and Carles Hernandez in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robin Bertrand' if Robin Bertrand advances against Carles Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Robin Bertrand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust accordingly. Comparing the two can provide a more nuanced understanding of the potential outcome of the Monastir tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly evolve based on the latest information and sentiment surrounding the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Robin Bertrand and Carles Hernandez, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly based on the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive outcome and timing of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, impacting the odds for the Monastir tennis match. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the market.