TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Piotr Grynkowski and Matthew Carroll in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Piotr Grynkowski' if Piotr Grynkowski advances against Matthew Carroll. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Carroll' if Matthew Carroll advances against Piotr Grynkowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Piotr Grynkowski and Matthew Carroll in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Piotr Grynkowski' if Piotr Grynkowski advances against Matthew Carroll. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Carroll' if Matthew Carroll advances against Piotr Grynkowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, whereas this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, offering a potentially valuable signal for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood, driven by the actions of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Piotr Grynkowski and Matthew Carroll. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market.