TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez and Kasra Rahmani in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez' if Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez advances against Kasra Rahmani. This market will resolve to 'Kasra Rahmani' if Kasra Rahmani advances against Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez and Kasra Rahmani in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez' if Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez advances against Kasra Rahmani. This market will resolve to 'Kasra Rahmani' if Kasra Rahmani advances against Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez and Kasra Rahmani, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will settle to 100% for the winning player, and 0% for the losing player. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one could also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before the Oct 14, 2026 resolution.