TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 8:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Djukic Valera and Maxence Rivet in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Djukic Valera' if Nikola Djukic Valera advances against Maxence Rivet. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Rivet' if Maxence Rivet advances against Nikola Djukic Valera. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Djukic Valera and Maxence Rivet in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Djukic Valera' if Nikola Djukic Valera advances against Maxence Rivet. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Rivet' if Maxence Rivet advances against Nikola Djukic Valera. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. It's common to see this market odds adjust more rapidly to new information or breaking news than traditional sportsbooks. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket may converge with those found at major sportsbooks, especially if there’s strong consensus. Comparing these odds can highlight potential value opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Nikola Djukic Valera and Maxence Rivet. Any official announcements regarding the match result will be used to determine the winner. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome on Polymarket after the event concludes and the results are verified. The platform will then distribute payouts based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategies could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed traders could signal a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals closely will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations before the market resolves.