TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 12:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Tepmahc and Yassine Smiej in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Yassine Smiej. This market will resolve to 'Yassine Smiej' if Yassine Smiej advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Tepmahc and Yassine Smiej in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Yassine Smiej. This market will resolve to 'Yassine Smiej' if Yassine Smiej advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when complex factors are at play. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks have access to different information, such as injury reports and team news, which may not be fully reflected in this market immediately. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the potential result. The current volume of trading in this market is $203, indicating the level of interest and activity.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Nicolas Tepmahc and Yassine Smiej. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of this market. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Nicolas Tepmahc or Yassine Smiej, or changes in playing conditions (like weather) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also influence perceptions. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements before Oct 27, 2026.