TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Tepmahc and Aziz Ouakaa in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Aziz Ouakaa. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Tepmahc and Aziz Ouakaa in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Aziz Ouakaa. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to odds on Polymarket diverging from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available and the event draws closer. It's a way to compare collective intelligence against professional oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Nicolas Tepmahc and Aziz Ouakaa. The winning player, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on whether their purchased shares align with the verified result. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date to stay informed.
Several signals could influence the trading activity and therefore move this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or changes in public opinion could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of shares on Polymarket. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market leading up to the Nov 7, 2026 resolution of the Monastir tennis match.