TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ned Smith and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ned Smith' if Ned Smith advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Ned Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ned Smith and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ned Smith' if Ned Smith advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Ned Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, creating a dynamic and efficient way to forecast the result of the Monastir tennis match. The current price reflects the aggregated intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ned Smith versus Kylian Collignon tennis match in Monastir. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will be settled. This allows for a clear and objective determination of the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.