TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mohamed Ali Abibsi and Alessandro Mondazzi in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Ali Abibsi' if Mohamed Ali Abibsi advances against Alessandro Mondazzi. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Mondazzi' if Alessandro Mondazzi advances against Mohamed Ali Abibsi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mohamed Ali Abibsi and Alessandro Mondazzi in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Ali Abibsi' if Mohamed Ali Abibsi advances against Alessandro Mondazzi. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Mondazzi' if Alessandro Mondazzi advances against Mohamed Ali Abibsi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, injury news, or even less quantifiable factors. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than traditional sportsbooks, as traders can instantly adjust their positions based on developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment surrounding the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Mohamed Ali Abibsi and Alessandro Mondazzi in Monastir. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic adjustments could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large-volume participants could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market is evolving and potentially identifying opportunities.