TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Meaizur Rahman Khan and Moncef Denguezli in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meaizur Rahman Khan' if Meaizur Rahman Khan advances against Moncef Denguezli. This market will resolve to 'Moncef Denguezli' if Moncef Denguezli advances against Meaizur Rahman Khan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Meaizur Rahman Khan and Moncef Denguezli in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meaizur Rahman Khan' if Meaizur Rahman Khan advances against Moncef Denguezli. This market will resolve to 'Moncef Denguezli' if Moncef Denguezli advances against Meaizur Rahman Khan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket tend to converge with those offered by sportsbooks, as more information becomes available and the market becomes more efficient.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market, offering a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the match between Meaizur Rahman Khan and Moncef Denguezli in M15 Monastir. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting outdoor play, or even updates on the players’ recent performance in other tournaments, could all lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role in shaping trader behavior and moving the market.