TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 11:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxi Carrascosa Diaz and Fnu Nidunjianzan in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxi Carrascosa Diaz' if Maxi Carrascosa Diaz advances against Fnu Nidunjianzan. This market will resolve to 'Fnu Nidunjianzan' if Fnu Nidunjianzan advances against Maxi Carrascosa Diaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxi Carrascosa Diaz and Fnu Nidunjianzan in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxi Carrascosa Diaz' if Maxi Carrascosa Diaz advances against Fnu Nidunjianzan. This market will resolve to 'Fnu Nidunjianzan' if Fnu Nidunjianzan advances against Maxi Carrascosa Diaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the result. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially when information isn't widely available or is undervalued by the broader public. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, particularly closer to the event date.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Monastir tennis match between Maxi Carrascosa Diaz and Fnu Nidunjianzan will determine the result. The platform will rely on official tournament results and widely accepted sources to verify the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market odds at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could trigger price movements. Keep an eye on tennis news sources and social media for any developments that might affect the perceived probability of either Maxi Carrascosa Diaz or Fnu Nidunjianzan winning the Monastir tennis match.