TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Rivet and Daniel Jade in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Rivet' if Maxence Rivet advances against Daniel Jade. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Maxence Rivet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Rivet and Daniel Jade in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Rivet' if Maxence Rivet advances against Daniel Jade. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Maxence Rivet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the players' chances. If there's a significant difference, it might suggest an opportunity for value betting – where one venue offers more favorable odds than the other, based on your own analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of that player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The current price of shares directly indicates what the crowd believes is the probability of each player’s success in the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Monastir tennis match between Maxence Rivet and Daniel Jade will determine the result. The platform will rely on official tournament results and widely available sources to verify the winner. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and reliable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also lead to significant price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to be reflected in the market, so keeping an eye on tennis news and expert opinions is advisable for those following this market.