TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mats Egbring and Tchegoun DeRosa in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mats Egbring' if Mats Egbring advances against Tchegoun DeRosa. This market will resolve to 'Tchegoun DeRosa' if Tchegoun DeRosa advances against Mats Egbring. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mats Egbring and Tchegoun DeRosa in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mats Egbring' if Mats Egbring advances against Tchegoun DeRosa. This market will resolve to 'Tchegoun DeRosa' if Tchegoun DeRosa advances against Mats Egbring. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market allows anyone to take a position, and the odds adjust based on the collective predictions of all participants. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading contracts, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This can lead to insights beyond traditional betting analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out based on the final result of the Monastir tennis match. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, reflecting changing expectations. The market's efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation, leading to a dynamically adjusted probability assessment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Monastir tennis match—which player wins—will determine the payout of the contracts. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the winner. It’s important to note that the resolution process focuses on establishing the factual outcome of the match as reported by reliable sources, ensuring a fair and transparent settlement for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Mats Egbring or Tchegoun DeRosa, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trading volume and prices. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting their informed opinions on the likely outcome of the Monastir tennis match.