TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matis Vanderborght and Ioan Alexandru Teglas in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matis Vanderborght' if Matis Vanderborght advances against Ioan Alexandru Teglas. This market will resolve to 'Ioan Alexandru Teglas' if Ioan Alexandru Teglas advances against Matis Vanderborght. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matis Vanderborght and Ioan Alexandru Teglas in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matis Vanderborght' if Matis Vanderborght advances against Ioan Alexandru Teglas. This market will resolve to 'Ioan Alexandru Teglas' if Ioan Alexandru Teglas advances against Matis Vanderborght. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more informed betting pool. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potentially identify value bets, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Matis Vanderborght and Ioan Alexandru Teglas, as reported by official tournament organizers. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all outstanding shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier matches leading up to the event, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also cause price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move this market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.