TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Hammond and Arian Barbic in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Hammond' if Martin Hammond advances against Arian Barbic. This market will resolve to 'Arian Barbic' if Arian Barbic advances against Martin Hammond. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Hammond and Arian Barbic in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Hammond' if Martin Hammond advances against Arian Barbic. This market will resolve to 'Arian Barbic' if Arian Barbic advances against Martin Hammond. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, with the total value of all shares summing to 1. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Martin Hammond vs Arian Barbic match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to shareholders accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to their training regimens could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as venue changes or weather forecasts, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders could trigger price movements, as others react to their actions. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume can provide clues about potential catalysts that may move this market before Nov 9, 2026.